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Ariella
Ariella
9/12/2016 3:11:06 PM
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Author
prophecy
I doubt broadcasting would end in 2030. It may look different than it does today, but it would likely continue in some form.

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dcawrey
dcawrey
9/12/2016 4:52:19 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: prophecy
Broadcasting will not go away, but the delivery methods will certainly be changing. People still clamor for live events, and although the overall cost for broadcasting must come down, I don't think it is going anywhere long term. 

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afwriter
afwriter
9/12/2016 5:42:46 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: prophecy
It may not disappear altogether, but it will definitely shrink as streaming becomes more popular.  I am a cord cutting techno-geek, but I love being able to get over the air channels for free in certain rooms of my house. 

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vnewman
vnewman
9/12/2016 6:42:44 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: prophecy
But then what will people do while they are eating dinner?  I've read studies that show approximately 70 percent of families watch TV during dinner.  It's much harder to huddle around a computer or laptop.  Maybe once people start projecting their devices that will change, but I think this shows how deeply the notion of broadcast TV is ingrained in our society.

But then again, the number of families who actually eat dinner together is on the decline, so...perhaps it will go the way of the radio serial.

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Ariella
Ariella
9/12/2016 7:17:40 PM
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Author
Re: prophecy
@vnewman there already are projectors for streaming movies. BTW the term TV dinners did not refer to dinners to be eaten while watching TV but to imply a modern way (fitting for the TV age) of preparing dinners. 

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Adi
Adi
9/13/2016 5:03:43 AM
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Author
Re: prophecy
In the US, the trend appears to be the opposite! We're seeing more people drop pay TV and add broadcast services, supplemented by OTT. But while this gets a lot of attention, its a small percentage. 

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Adi
Adi
9/13/2016 5:11:03 AM
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Author
Not that crazy
Hastings' comment isn't that crazy. Do we really need broadcast from a pure technology standpoint today(leaving aside industry structure/value chain/business relationships for a moment)? Broadcast stations were the only way to get signals to homes around the country, and thats why they were built. Now satellite can do that, pay-TV can do that, fixed broadband can do that, and in future, potentially even 5G can do that.

Most of the content offered by stations is content from the network and syndicated, 2nd run content. Other than the evening news and the odd studio show, they create very little. So even for the big four broadcast networks, why maintain their stations, partner with affiliates etc., why not just switch to a pure content creation business and let someone else deal with the rest?

There's a whole host of business relationships that need to be unwound and reconstructed, and that's not going to happen overnight. But it could happen over time. 

 

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clrmoney
clrmoney
9/13/2016 11:01:43 AM
User Rank
Platinum
IBC Audiences
Theu can attract them with OTT=Over the Top with their newly services and advanced technology they have for the public.

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vnewman
vnewman
9/14/2016 3:48:10 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: prophecy
@Ariella - true, but they don't seem to be the mainstay (just yet) in people's living rooms.  

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faryl
faryl
9/14/2016 6:19:50 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: prophecy
I have good ole fashioned rabbit ears for my broadcast TV :

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